Based on Putin's rhetoric and record of annexations, I think we have to reckon with prolonged aggression. If Russia moves against Finland, this will become a NATO war and we can throw everything into destroying Russian capabilities. Absent that stupid mistake, the prospects are more uncertain in the face of increasing Western vacillation. I think we can rely on the Ukrainians to fight on no matter what, but we should stop arsing about and provide them with everything they need. I think we will soon see escalating drone strikes on Moscow and elsewhere deep inside Russia, bringing the war home to those who have perpetrated it.